Tag Archives: york ebor

horse racing

Angel of the North

Seven meetings across Britain today, all in England. The going draws a weather map of the past few days from North to South. Cartmel is Good to Soft whilst Newmarket and Windsor are Good to Firm. The remainder are all Good, including York.

We start at the Knavesmire:

3.00 York 6f Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (2yo)

No outstanding performer for this Group 2 worth over £127,000 to the winner.

Form horses Cardsharp and Headway can return to form on this better ground after disappointing on soft ground at Goodwood.

Nebo and Frozen Angel are also considered on form achieved.

At current odds Frozen Angel is my preference.

He was a noted horse earlier in the season and has continued to run well.

His latest performances at the Curragh and Maisons-Laffitte are solid efforts.

Today’s conditions will suit and a big run is expected.

Current 8/1+ is fair.

 

Frozen Angel

 

4.25 Newmarket 6f (July) Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Four non-runners leaving a field of eleven.

Previous noted horse Gifted Master returned to his best when winning a Doncaster.

A reproduction of that run gives him a solid chance.

Conditions will suit.

I would want at least 9/2 to get interested.

Gifted Master

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horse racing

Last chance

We go to Newbury and Perth this afternoon. Unseasonably soft ground at both meetings.

Plenty of non-runners today, most will be down to unsuitable going.

2.25 Newbury 1m5½f Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Frontiersman sets the standard, but is proving frustrating having thrown away a winning opportunity at Newmarket on latest start.

Defoe’s win at Hamilton has subsequently been franked. He can progress further.

To Eternity is still unexposed.

At the odds available I am tempted to give Frontiersman one further chance.

My provisional front of market tissue:

Frontiersman  5/2

Defoe               11/4

To Eternity      11/2

We go to Newbury and Perth today. Unseasonably soft ground at both meetings.

Plenty of non-runners today, most will be down to unsuitable going.

 

Frontiersman

 

3.45 Perth 2m Spirits Of Scone Stone Of Destiny Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (3yo+)

Lovato runs in first handicap and will need to improve to win off his mark.

Top-weighted Mirsaale returned to form on latest start. Connections fit cheek-pieces for the first time over hurdles (he wore them on the flat).

Dear Sire ties in with Mirsaale on latest form.

Green Zone is improving.

My early assessment of the field:

Mirsaale                10/3

Lovato                     4/1

Dear Sire                 4/1

Green Zone            5/1

Caius Marcius        7/1

Thefyingportrait  12/1

 

Green Zone

Our final special membership of the year is centred around the York Ebor meeting. You can start today and get 10 days membership from only £20. More details at: http://www.slh.co.uk/special-membership/

Good couple of winners for us this week which pushed the summer profits up again. Greatly looking forward to York next week.

 

horse racing

Haydock features

We go to Haydock this afternoon for their two feature races. The going is Good to Soft. The ground has been drying this morning in the light north-westerly breeze.

2.30 1m2½f  Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Numbers 4 and 9 are both out leaving 11 to post.

A competitive Group 3, in which there’s little to choose between half of the field on the best of their form.

Laraaib is the progressive performer. He takes a step up in class, having impressed when winning a handicap on latest start. His action suggests that today’s easier ground conditions shouldn’t be an issue.

Autocratic sets this seasons form standard on his performance when winning the Group 3 Brigadier Gerard at Sandown in May.

Laraaib is my marginal preference.

Difficult race to price, I would want at least 4/1 about Laraaib to get me involved.

 

Laarib

 

 

3.35 1m Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Sea Of Grace takes a drop in class and sets a high standard.

Although not completely straightforward, a reproduction of either of her last two runs in Group 1 company will make her very difficult to beat.

I put Sea Of Grace in as my even money favourite and go 5/1 bar.

 

Sea Of Grace (right)

Our final special membership of the year is for the York Ebor meeting. By applying this weekend you will get bonus membership starting next Friday and then right through to Bank Holiday Monday 28th August. That works out at 11 days membership for just £20. More details at: http://www.slh.co.uk/special-membership/

horse racing

BFS

Final day of Glorious Goodwood which like the York Dante meeting earlier in the summer, has been affected by the adverse weather conditions.

The going has eased towards the good side of soft, so we may have some form today that can be carried forward. Thankfully the non-runner count is way below the epidemic of past days.

There are six meetings across Britain today, we are looking at one race this afternoon at Goodwood and then one this evening from Hamilton. Overall the day can be summed up as a BFS… Bookmaker Friendly Saturday!

 

3.00 Goodwood: 1m4f (1m3f218y) Qatar Gordon Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo)

Crystal Ocean and Khalidi set the form standard, although there are slight doubts concerning both.

Crystal Ocean finished behind Khalidi at Royal Ascot yet is favourite to reverse those placings.

Easier ground conditions are expected to suit Crystal Ocean and I don’t anticipate there being much between them at the finish.

Both Across Dubai and Mount Moriah impressed on their latest starts and look progressive.

I provisionally price the five runners:

Crystal Ocean  15/8

Khalidi   15/8

Across Dubai   8/1

Mount Moiah 10/1

Jake’s Hill  10/1

Khalidi wiining the Feilden Stakes at Newmarket

7.30 Hamilton 5f  British Stallion Studs EBF Soba Conditions Stakes (Class 3) (3yo+)

Glenrowan Rose is in excellent form and has a solid chance of beating the officially higher rated Alpha Delphini.

I see it as follows:

Glenrowan Rose  7/4

Alpha Delphini     2/1

10/1 bar

Glenrowan Rose

 

The compilers are at odds with one another with this one. For example Bet 365 go 11/8 and 6/4 in Glenrowan’s favour whereas Hill’s see quite the reverse. Unusual for the books not to be in close agreement.

Excellent day for members yesterday with three winners from three bets only. Special introductory membership terms are available for the remainder of the summer and for the York Ebor week starting 19th August.  Full details at: http://www.slh.co.uk/special-membership/

Please note that this blog will move to Saturday only for the next few weeks.

horse racing, york

Rain west, look East

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After two days of sunshine and fast ground, the rain is set to descend on York from around noon today. With heavy rain forecast during racing, there could be a pronounced affect on the going. Two races for us to look at.

York 2.30: Pallasator finished a creditable second in the Goodwood Cup. From that showing he holds four of todays rivals. Wicklow Brave getting closest in a non-competitive fourth place.

Pallasator can be fractious, but if he is kept calm prior to the off, looks sure to go close. Handles all ground conditions.

Last year’s Ascot Gold Cup winner, Trip To Paris is respected after showing well on return in July following a tendon injury. Fifth in this race last year before setting off for the southern hemisphere with high profile runs in Australia and Japan.

I have the market leaders priced as follows:

Pallasator 3/1

Trip To Paris 7/2

Clever Cookie 4/1

Pallasator
Pallasator

York 3.40: Whilst the predicted rain may not have got into the firm ground for the opening races, by mid-afternoon things could look a lot different.

Mecca’s Angel won this race last year by a 2f margin. Which is quite impressive for such a 5f Group 1 sprint. Three outings this season with the latest bringing a Group 2 victory at the Curragh.

July Cup winner Limato heads the betting. Takes on 5f for the first time.

Yalta is one of two 2 y.o.’s in the race and as such gets a sizeable weight pull from his older rivals. Left the field in his wake when running away with the Molecomb at Goodwood.

I am going to price this when I have a better idea of ground conditions. Of the three studied, only Mecca’s Angel will be suited by easing ground. There was some 6/1 on offer very early this morning but that has been taken in anticipation of a going change.

Meccas Angel
Mecca’s Angel

No improvement in the weather is forecast for tomorrow when I will return to look at a few more feature races.

horse racing, Uncategorized, york

On the Rajar

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Opening day of the Newbury Hungerford meeting and we have two races from there to look at this afternoon. The going is Good to Firm and has been watered. A warm sunny day is forecast.

Newbury 2.50: A competitive nine runner handicap with two of particular interest in what could be a tactical battle.

Marcano would have gone close to winning with a clear run on latest start at Sandown last week. Steps back up to a mile today.

He is a ‘hold up’ horse who needs things to fall his way. Well campaigned this season and looks sure to go well.

Exceeding Power is another who is ridden just off the pace. Last outing was at Newmarket over today’s trip at the end of July. Finished third having raced keenly.

He is running consistently well and is expected to figure. Gets 4lb from Marcano. I find it hard to split the pair as my tissue shows:

Marcano 7/2

Exceeding Power 7/2

Lulani 6/1

Steal The Scene 13/2

10/1 Bar

Exceeding Power
Exceeding Power

Newbury 3.55: The premier race of today’s Newbury card. A listed 5f sprint for 2 y.o. fillies.

The unbeaten Mrs Danvers impressed on latest start at this course. Just holds Stormy Clouds on that form although I feel the market has them too far apart.

Like Mrs Danvers, Rajar comes here off the back of three consecutive victories. Impressed at Newmarket on her latest start and is preferred in a very tight race. The drop back from 6 to 5f shouldn’t be a problem. After the Newmarket race assistant trainer Tom Ward pinpointed this race as the next step in her progression.

Paul Hanagan is the fourth different jockey for Dainty Dandy today in her three race career. Showed improved form at Ascot last time but the drop back to 5f could be a problem.

My tissue:

Rajar 4/1

Dainty Dandy 9/2

Mrs Danvers 9/2

8/1 Bar

mrs-danvers-
Mrs Danvers

Just returned from a short break in which I met up with a few contacts to assess plans for the late flat/early jumps campaigns. First day back provided a 10/1 winner from my early betting.

We have a special membership for York Ebor week at just £20. Membership starts tomorrow and runs to Sunday 21st. More details here.