Tag Archives: Warwick

Worth a look at 40/1

An interesting day of racing with the better quality to be found at Newbury and Warwick. The other turf meeting of the day at Uttoxeter appears to have cornered the market in Class 4 races, with all seven on the card being of that standard.

We are concentrating on two races from Newbury. The official going is soft/good to soft in places. Very similar to that reported by Sandown last Saturday, which proved to be generous as many toiled in the testing ground. I understand why tracks don’t want to deter connections from pulling out, but for the serious backers it is not helpful.

With rain widespread across the country I will be getting up to date going reports direct from contacts at the tracks prior to making my betting decisions before briefing clients at lunchtime.

1.50 3m Betfair Cash Out Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-145)

Barters Hill’s reappearance after a fourteen month absence is of significant interest.

A leading novice hurdler in 2015/16, he was pulled up on his chase debut when last seen on the track.

He has done plenty of work in preparation for today. If retaining his ability he is very favourably handicapped.

The Eaglehaslanded also returns from a long absence.

He has been dropped a few pounds in the handicap since last seen. Conditions will suit and I expect him to go well.

With the horses that have recent form all looking beatable it is a difficult race to price with confidence.

The two returners make the most appeal.

Barters Hill


3.35 2m½f Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

The maximum twenty four declared for this valuable handicap. With over £150,000 prize money on offer it ensures that the respective trainers will have made all preparations to bring their horses here with a fighting chance.

As the betting suggests it is wide open. I will highlight five horses that are expected to run big races.

Current 9/1 favourite Irish Roe has to be considered. She continues to progress and in theory gets into today’s race very favourably handicapped. However, I’m not sure that her latest form can be taken at face value and her chance is reflected in the market.

Misterton comes into this race of the back of his best performance. Conditions are fine and further improvement is anticipated. 20/1 is fair.

Waterlord disappointed on latest start after impressing when winning previously. This will be his first run in a handicap with a return to his earlier form expected. Presently on offer between 16/1 and 20/1.

And finally two further down the betting list, both available at a general 40/1. Don’t be put off by the price, they are worthy of consideration.

Divin Bere is Paul Nichols sole runner. He shaped much better than his finishing position suggests on reappearance. His Cheltenham and Aintree form from last season puts him in with a live chance at big odds.

Nietzsche is another I can make a case for at big odds. A strong run, big field race will suit. Last season’s form ties in with Divin Bere.


Divin Bere (right)

The recent radical changes in the weather have been a dominant factor as seen by the abandonment of all jump meetings on Wednesday. However, the overarching theme of this winter has been prolonged testing ground. It is a time to circumspect in your betting. This week we have had just four bets producing two winners at 6/4 and 3/1.

2018 Cheltenham Festival

We are now just over four weeks away from the start of the 2018 Cheltenham Festival. I will once again be providing the Cheltenham preview and membership package with all funds going to support the stable staff.

The preview and a special ten day membership is now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/2018-cheltenham-special/

The advance price is £25. Click on the link for more details.









Hot Lanzarote

Just back from my annual break refreshed and ready to make 2018 another year of good profits from my selective value driven betting.

Three turf meetings this afternoon, all reporting soft ground.

Today we are looking at a race apiece from Kempton and Warwick. Both higher quality races are covered on ITV4. We start with the Lanzarote at Kempton.

2.40 2m5f (Winter) 32Red Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Highly competitive race with the books unable to make any discernible difference between the front three in the market. All are going around 5/1 the field.

Coeur Blimey steps back up in trip and is worth keeping on side at double figure odds. After impressing at Wincanton on his penultimate start, he disappointed at Ascot, where his jumping wasn’t fluent. He had high class bumper form and the Wincanton win confirmed that he retains that level of ability. Today’s conditions will suit and a big run is expected.

Today’s jockey is Lucy Gardener, who is his regular rider and claims what could be a valuable 3lb in this tight race.

16 runners currently, so four places on offer to each way backers.

Coeur Blimey


3.00 2m5f (Inner) Ballymore Leamington Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (Class 1) (5yo+)

Count Meribel looked sure to win at the final hurdle, before being outstayed by Kilbricken Storm on latest start at Cheltenham.

Mr Whipped still looked ‘green’ when winning at Newbury. That run makes him the form choice, and with further improvement anticipated he will be hard to beat.

I provisionally price the six runners as follows:

Mr Whipped               7/4

Count Meribel            9/4

Chooseyourweapon  8/1

Knight In Dubai          10/1

Paisley Park                10/1

Cave Top                     16/1


Mr Whipped

Looking back at 2017, it proved to be another lucrative year for my select group of members with well over 100 points profit. We recorded a profit on stakes invested of some 30% and an overall strike rate of 43%. As with 2016 when we made 100 points, my traditional bookmaker style bets on the Private Service accounted for around 60% of the total. 92% of all Private bets were win only and as always, no bets were odds-on. The Exchange bets maintained steady profit growth and with the large discount on offer are well worth adding to your betting portfolio.

Latest membership terms, with up to a £100 saving on standard rates are shown at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

If you want to take your first steps towards genuine professional backing, take the time to visit the website and apply for the free info pack. Go to: www.slh.co.uk

Please rest assured that any details you provide are held in strictest confidence and are never passed to any third party.

Cheltenham preview update

Two races for us at Warwick this afternoon and an important update on our Cheltenham Festival charity preview as main ITV commentator Richard Hoiles has kindly joined the contributors.

The going at Warwick is Soft and after yesterday’s beating from the storms, a relatively pleasant day is forecast.

2.00 Warwick

With form horses Coo Star Sivola and Global Stage having disappointed on their latest starts – a difficult race to assess.

Monsieur Co was beaten when left clear at the final hurdle, with that form looking suspect.

At current prices Coo Star Sivola is preferred.

I price the main players as follows.

Coo Star     7/4

Global        2/1

Monsieur Co 11/4

Coo Star Sivola

4.10 Warwick

This is a ‘hands and heels’ handicap hurdle for amateurs and conditionals – whips not to be used. Not the sort of race I would get too seriously involved with.

In theory William Money is thrown-in racing of a 15lb lower mark than when winning over fences 2 days ago. The question is whether he will transfer that form to hurdles.

Act Now is sure to run well but has not been missed by the handicapper.

Staunton has been needing this step up in trip and looks an e/w option. Best priced at 15/2 this morning.

On my private tissue I go:

William Money 11/10

Act Now 5/1

Staunton 5/1

10/1 bar


William Money


Each year at Cheltenham Festival time we raise much needed donations to the Lambourn Valley Housing Trust (Registered charity No. 1049742.) The trust build affordable homes for stable staff and their families. Helping to keep valuable experience and expertise in racing.

As the trust chairman explains: ‘There are many reasons for a successful yard and one of the most important is the staff. They are not as richly rewarded as we would like and we are always likely to lose key trained lads and lasses when they have just married. Quite rightly they want a home of their own together, but cannot afford to rent anything suitable.’

For just £25 you will get:

  • Cheltenham preview. I will be assessing the home challenge whilst leading Irish racing expert Donn McClean covers the Irish horses. Racing broadcaster of the year John Hunt also provides his insight as does lead ITV commentator Richard Hoiles plus we have the intriguing stats for trend analysts.
  • Exclusive list of horses to follow from the Lambourn trainers
  • Full access to my work as a professional backer from Saturday 11th to Sunday 19th March (Festival dates 14th – 17th)

All of your £25 goes to the trust.

Secure your place now at: http://www.slh.co.uk/2017-cheltenham-festival/



A watching day?

We have a weekend filled with plenty of top class racing, unfortunately the cards on offer today are of a fairly low calibre.

Despite the course watering, the dry Autumn has meant Warwick are reporting ground that is good to firm in places. There are already a good number of non-runners.

Two races to quickly look at are:

 Warwick 1.25

 Two NR’s leaving four to post at present.

Silvergrove has his first run since finishing third at the Cheltenham Festival in a handicap chase. He is capable of taking this novice hurdle before returning to chases. Currently a general 11/10.

A race made more interesting by the Skelton runner making British debut having had just the two races in Ireland.



Warwick 2.35

Again two NR’s with eight remaining in this 2m handicap hurdle.

Courtlands Prince would probably have won on latest start but for a mistake at the final hurdle in an incident packed finish. I go 9/4 whilst 7/4 is on offer generally.

The Pipe yard try the tongue-tie on Nice Thoughts in a bid to get back to the form shown in early summer.


Courtlands Prince
Courtlands Prince


It has been a very quiet week for us as there has been nothing worthy of serious backing. I will be keeping a close watch on Down Royal today with some of the big Irish yards going up against each other.

My All Weather team had a good 11/4 winner yesterday and added further to the impressive profits made so far this year. More details of this and the comprehensive racing service on offer, go to: www.slh.co.uk