Just back from my annual break refreshed and ready to make 2018 another year of good profits from my selective value driven betting.
Three turf meetings this afternoon, all reporting soft ground.
Today we are looking at a race apiece from Kempton and Warwick. Both higher quality races are covered on ITV4. We start with the Lanzarote at Kempton.
2.40 2m5f (Winter) 32Red Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)
Highly competitive race with the books unable to make any discernible difference between the front three in the market. All are going around 5/1 the field.
Coeur Blimey steps back up in trip and is worth keeping on side at double figure odds. After impressing at Wincanton on his penultimate start, he disappointed at Ascot, where his jumping wasn’t fluent. He had high class bumper form and the Wincanton win confirmed that he retains that level of ability. Today’s conditions will suit and a big run is expected.
Today’s jockey is Lucy Gardener, who is his regular rider and claims what could be a valuable 3lb in this tight race.
16 runners currently, so four places on offer to each way backers.
3.00 2m5f (Inner) Ballymore Leamington Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (Class 1) (5yo+)
Count Meribel looked sure to win at the final hurdle, before being outstayed by Kilbricken Storm on latest start at Cheltenham.
Mr Whipped still looked ‘green’ when winning at Newbury. That run makes him the form choice, and with further improvement anticipated he will be hard to beat.
I provisionally price the six runners as follows:
Mr Whipped 7/4
Count Meribel 9/4
Knight In Dubai 10/1
Paisley Park 10/1
Cave Top 16/1
Looking back at 2017, it proved to be another lucrative year for my select group of members with well over 100 points profit. We recorded a profit on stakes invested of some 30% and an overall strike rate of 43%. As with 2016 when we made 100 points, my traditional bookmaker style bets on the Private Service accounted for around 60% of the total. 92% of all Private bets were win only and as always, no bets were odds-on. The Exchange bets maintained steady profit growth and with the large discount on offer are well worth adding to your betting portfolio.
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