Tag Archives: fontwell

Back to earth

After the highs of a fabulous four days at Cheltenham it’s back to earth today with three jumps cards from Kempton, Fontwell and Uttoxeter.

One race from Kempton for us this morning.

 2m Matchbook VIP Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) (Class 3) (5yo+ 0-135)

A case can be made for all five runners.

Free Stone Hill has dropped to handicap mark that he has the ability to win off. However he finds little in a finish and isn’t to be trusted.

Deauville Dancer returns from a winter break and may benefit from this race.

Copain De Classe was left with a solo after his only rival fell at only the second fence on his latest start. He has potential, but is at short odds on form achieved.  Currently on offer at 5/4.

Both Kayf Blanco and Vocaliser are running well.

My private tissue:

Copain De Classe 5/2

Kayf Blanco  3/1

Vocaliser       3/1

Deauville      6/1

Free Stone Hill   12/1

  

Copain De Classe

 

2018 Cheltenham Festival

My thanks to everyone who donated and to the preview contributors: Donn McClean, Richard Hoiles, John Hunt and Paul O’Hara.

The two commentators both enjoyed success from their selective advices. Richard with 13/2 winner Mr Whitaker and John emphatically stated that the ‘best bet of the entire meeting has to be Presenting Percy.’  Another great ride from Davy Russell providing a 5/2 winner.

Plus there was plenty for readers from the other contributors.

Lots of great performances with many thrilling finishes and the dominant displays from the likes of Samcro, Altior and Laurina. For me the highlight of the week was the Gold Cup and the relentless jumping performance of Native River. However I have doubts whether the Gold Cup is recently of the same standard of past era’s.

All donations go to the Lambourn Valley Housing Trust who build affordable homes for stable staff and their families. Helping keep vital staff in racing.

Ones to watch

Contrasting going reports today with our two featured meetings. Ascot is Good to Soft whilst Fontwell are watering to maintain good ground.

This is a transitional phase of the year as we enter the last full month of the flat and we start to see the higher quality jumpers make their seasonal debuts.

We start with the two Group 3 events at Ascot and then onto the most valuable race at Fontwell this afternoon.

2.25 Ascot 1m4f Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

The Galileo bred Waldgeist sets a very high standard on his French and Irish Derby form.

Conditions are fine and he deserves to be at short odds. 10/11 my provisional tissue.

Waldgeist

3.00 Ascot 6f John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

A peak form Blue Point will prove difficult to beat. Disappointed on testing ground at Haydock latest start when he could not quicken in the final stages.

I expect a return to form on today’s surface; good to soft should be fine. 6/4 my provisional tissue.

Blue Point

3.05 Fontwell 2m3f Winner Group Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-145)

Six of the seven here are making their seasonal debuts. With a few interesting horses who are expected to progress further.

Loverboy is an ex French horse having his first start for Dan Skelton after his move from France last week. Not seen on the track for 2 1/2 years.

I anticipate that both Diable De Sivola and Dashing Oscar will have successful seasons.

Definitely a race to watch for the future.

Dashing Oscar

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Crackerjack!

First week of my summer campaign. Throughout the summer I will be concentrating on the higher quality flat and summer jumps. Today’s flat cards are modest and we will be looking at a couple of races at Fontwell this evening. The going is on the firm side of good and the seven race card commences at ‘Crackerjack! Time’ – 5 to 5 for those not old enough to remember the Friday evening kid’s TV show.

 5.55 Fontwell

Work In Progress proved a big disappointment last season. Returns from a break with a tongue-tie fitted for the first time. Features on a fair handicap mark, with conditions ideal.

Doubts concerning all 5 runners – making it a difficult race to price accurately at this stage.

 

Work In Progress

6.25 Fontwell

Harry Hunt sets the recent form standard.

Again there are doubts about all the runners.

7/2+ about Harry Hunt is fair.


Galileo Gold & Frankie Dettori win last year’s 2000-Guineas

 

Great anticipation regarding the Newmarket Guineas meeting this weekend. Back tomorrow morning for a really good day of racing.

Tightly knit

Seven races this afternoon at Wetherby, the first five are all Class 4 events and the final two are classed at 6 and 5 respectively. A marginally better overall standard than the other turf meeting at Fontwell.

The going is Good to Soft at Wetherby where we look at two races containing quite a few handicap chasers who will be familiar to many.

2.50 Wetherby

Negatives concerning all five runners in this tightly knit race, where nothing can be ruled out.

I provisionally price them as follows:

Gin Cobbler 11/4

Roxyfet  11/4

Ever So Much 5/1

Chestnut Ben 5/1

Akula 11/2

 

Roxyfet

3.50 Wetherby

Swing Hard comes into this race in form after a gutsy victory at this track ten days ago. Expect a positive ride.

Attimo is weighted to reverse earlier form with Swing Hard, but broke blood vessels on latest start.

Volt Face latest Towcester form is suspect.

Treat Yourself is well handicapped, but found little for pressure on latest start.

My tissue:

Swing Hard  5/2

Treat Yourself 3/1

Attimo 7/2

Volt Face  7/1

14/1 bar

 

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Cannon to fire flame?

First day of an interesting jumps meeting at Fontwell. Going to look at two races from the West Sussex track. The going is Good and the course has been watered. Rain expected this afternoon.

4.00 Fontwell

Workbench has dropped to a fair handicap mark over fences. However he disappointed on latest start over hurdles. You have to look back to this race in 2015 for his last victory, he also won this event in 2014 and therefore seeks a hat-trick today.

Bottom weighted Theatre Flame is fitted with cheek-pieces and can improve as he markedly steps up in class. Tom Cannon takes the ride for the first time today as Tom Scudamore is on the Pipe entry Purple and Gold.

I go 9/4 jt fav’s Workbench and Theatre Flame.

Theatre Flame

4.35 Fontwell

Wizards Bridge has been found a weak race and is weighted to win if retaining any of his old ability. Has been off the track since early May. Finished just the one race in four starts this year.

However, there are various doubts about all his rivals.

My provisional pricing:

Wizards Bridge 2/1

Strumble Head 9/2

Indiana Bay 9/2

Schindler’s Prince 9/2

Vikekhal 14/1

Master Rajeem 14/1

Wizards Bridge
Wizards Bridge

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Red Day?

Two races for us to quickly look at this afternoon and then I would like to touch on the new Flat season.

Firstly to the Fontwell 2.10. Billy Merriott has raced just four times since his last victory in November 2012 and has failed to finish in three of them. However, his last outing at Doncaster just over four months ago showed that he could retain some of his old ability. I trust Harry Fry has put plenty of work into the 10 y.o. Impossible race to price with confidence, I would provisionally put Billy Merriott in at 9/4.

A marked step up in class as we go to Ayr for their premier race on the card. The 3.45 is a listed race worth over £25,000 to the winner. Definitly Red and Double Shuffle are at the head of the market.

Definitly Red drops 5lb from his lacklustre showing at the Cheltenham Festival and is on a favourable mark. My negative is the 2m 4f trip may be too sharp.

The bookmakers are taking no chances, with a general 11/4 quote. 9/2 on my tissue.

Pity we have lost Newbury today, but the two days of Newmarket this week have been interesting.

Sutter County
Sutter County

On Wednesday I analysed three additional races for clients personal use as part of the comprehensive racing service provided. Two over the jumps winning at 13/8 and 6/1 plus highlighting the Royal Ascot prospects of Sutter County. Whilst winning narrowly at prohibitive odds, he will come on from that run in fairly testing ground.

Just one flat horse for us the following day, another narrow winner, this time at 3/1.

As a professional, I like to see the flat season take shape before getting involved. Account betting will start in the forthcoming weeks.

Back tomorrow morning.