Tag Archives: fakenham

Icing value?

Interesting cards at both Fakenham and Sandown this afternoon. We are going to look at two races from the latter where the going is on the heavy side of Soft.

2.10 Sandown

Pougne Bobbi was impressive on latest start at Ludlow last week and is progressive. In theory the jockey’s 7lb claim negates his penalty for that victory.

Cepage and Icing On The Cake could also improve. Icing On The Cake unseated at the third in that Ludlow race having dug deep to win at Newbury on his previous outing. There are a few firms quoting double figures for his chances.

My tissue:

Pougne Bobbi  2/1

Cepage  5/1

Icing On The Cake  5/1

Dream Bolt     11/2

12/1 bar

Pougne Bobbi

3.15 Sandown

The historic Royal Artillery Gold Cup is restricted to military amateur riders. First run in 1863. I don’t generally get too involved with amateur races. However, this 3m chase is worthy of some consideration.

Rathlin Rose ran well returning from an absence on latest start.

Ardkilly Witness goes well at this track.

Troika Steppes has been running well this season.

I assess them as follows.

Rathlin Rose 9/4

Troika Steppes 3/1

Ardkilly Witness  3/1

8/1 bar

 

Troika Steppes

It has been a bit quieter than I would have liked this week, but we have some decent cards over the coming days which should provide betting opportunities. Just two bets so far for the week and both profitable. Discover more about my work and advance plans for the Festival. You can also download my new app. Go to: www.slh.co.uk

Early days

The jumps campaign is still in its early stages with a mixture of debutants and summer horses still on the go. Quick look at two races this afternoon:

2.05 Fakenham

Throthehatch has first start for the Skelton stable. Comes here on a potentially lenient handicap mark. 6/4 my provisional tissue and 11/10 generally with the books.

Hint Of Mint at Sandown last year
Hint Of Mint at Sandown last year

2.25 Wincanton

Moonday Sun improved on latest start. Hint Of Mint respected returning from an absence. Moonday Sun 2/1 ,Hint of Mint 9/4 on my provisional tissue

This is a time of year when discipline and the professional long term approach are pronounced. The main jumps season runs for seven months – a marathon not a sprint.

Just the one bet for us this week which rewarded us with a smart 8/1 winner.

Back tomorrow for Champions Day at Ascot.

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Fakenham has passed its second morning inspection and there will be added interest as Victoria Pendleton rides in the Foxhunters Chase at 4.10.

Quick look at three races today. At Fakenham one that looks overpriced is Raise A Spark in the 2.30. Had every chance when falling on latest two starts. However, emphasis may be more on a clear round than competing with the current odds-on favourite.

The Sandown card has some appeal. In the 2.10 Blandfords Gunner returns after a good win at Leicester in early December. Expected to continue his progression. 3/1 on my tissue which is roughly in line with the current market.

The best race on the card is the 2.45. A Grade 2 in which Jessbess Dream makes a quick reappearance having finished second at Warwick last Saturday.

Katie Too heads the market. Unbeaten from her two runs this season. Whilst she impressed in her latest victory, the current 5/4 seems too short in a competitive race. I make her 3/1 on my provisional tissue.

Katie Too on her way to victory at Fontwell
Katie Too on her way to victory at Fontwell

Good week for us so far with both our bets being profitable. They have been a strong bet on a 20 length 7/4 winner and a successful lay of a 4/5 favourite.

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