Tag Archives: cheltenham

Cheltenham latest

Two good cards for us from Doncaster and Newbury today and tomorrow.

Before looking at two races at Newbury, I want to bring you up to date with the latest Cheltenham arrangements.

2016 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL

Get the professional view and make a valuable donation to a very worthwhile racing charity.

From just £25 you will get:

– The Cheltenham preview from leading professional backer, Steve Lewis Hamilton and top Irish racing expert Donn McClean

– Exclusive contributions from Middleham trainer Micky Hammond and racing broadcaster of the year, John Hunt. Plus the telling stats from Paul O’Hara

– Horses to follow from the Lambourn trainers, including Nicky Henderson. Last year the list provided 14/1 winner, Cole Harden

– Access to Steve’s bets and information for the nine days, Saturday 12th to Sunday 20th March

Click here to book now

For more details about the services and the latest results, click here.

ALL OF YOUR £25 FEE GOES TO THE LAMBOURN VALLEY HOUSING TRUST (Registered Charity No. 1049742).

The Trust build affordable homes for stable staff and their families. Keeping vital staff in racing.

Douvan – Back or lay? Get the preview and discover more.
Douvan – Back or lay? Get the preview and discover more.

Back to this afternoon. In the opener, Favorito Buck’s is a warm order to get off the mark for Paul Nicholls since the 4 y.o.’s move from France. Disappointed on debut at Kempton in late December. Tongue-tie fitted and drop in class today. Difficult race to price with so many unknowns. Very recent arrival Lutece could be anything.

The favourite is currently quoted at 5/4. At that sort of price this is more a race to watch.

In the 5.05 Kilcullen Flem steps up to 3m on handicap debut and improvement is expected. I have him in as 7/2 co-fav on my tissue.

Back tomorrow morning with a look at the Saturday action. In the meantime have a look at my website for more on the special charity preview and membership.

Reference Day

Scrappy looking afternoon of racing with little of discernible value to go at.

Difficult to accurately price up the key races at Doncaster. More a card for future reference.

At Huntingdon there are two races of interest. The 2.40 doesn’t look as clear cut as the betting suggests and there are plenty here with chances.

The 3.15 is a real conundrum. None of the five come into this inspiring confidence. At The Top makes her chasing debut after not really doing a lot over hurdles. However, she has the make of a chaser. Wouldn’t want to take anything under 13/8.

Djakadam impressed on latest outing when winning the John Durkan Memorial
Djakadam impressed on latest outing when winning the John Durkan Memorial

Tomorrow is an entirely different matter with last year’s Gold Cup runner-up Djakadam being Willie Mullins’ only runner at Cheltenham. Paul Townend is dispatched to Doncaster to ride his three runners there.

Back tomorrow morning with a full preview.

Old Red Lion

Race of interest today is the 1.45 Cheltenham. Since finishing down the field at the Cheltenham Festival, Vieux Lion Rouge has chalked up three consecutive victories. The latest at Haydock in impressive style. Interested to see if he can continue his progression today. Currently 9/2, which is identical to my tissue.

Vieux Lion Rouge
Vieux Lion Rouge winning at Haydock last month.

Six feature races for us on Channel 4 tomorrow as they go to Cheltenham and Doncaster.

Back on Saturday morning with the regular preview.

What A Weekend!

First meetings of the new season from both Cheltenham and Aintree plus two good cards on the flat from Doncaster and Newbury.

Today at Cheltenham is a ‘look and learn’ day. Plenty of Irish challengers to add to the many unknown factors at this embryonic stage of the season.

I price up every race of interest to me. The many unknown factors make it a very difficult task.

One that I will be watching closely today is Qewy in the 2.40. The 5 y.o. makes his chasing debut having finished 5th in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the festival and third in a Grade 2 hurdle at the Aintree National meeting.

With just the three to post, this is a tight betting event with the market just making Rock The World favourite over Qewy. Some go 6/4 the pair.

Qewy isn’t straightforward and there are too many intangibles to get seriously involved at short odds in a race likely to end up a tactical battle.

Qewy winning impressively at Newbury. Riddne by AP McCoy, one of the two winners on the day he announced his retirement.
Qewy winning impressively at Newbury. Ridden by AP McCoy, one of his two winners on the day he announced his retirement.

Back tomorrow morning with the regular Saturday preview.

Cheltenham Gold Cup

Preview extracts for the premier event of the festival…

Many Clouds participation last year was abruptly ended when he was brought down in the RSA Chase. His improvement has been marked this year culminating with his Betbright Cup victory.

Whilst Coneygree  is inexperienced, his natural jumping ability could see him be crowned as the third successive 8 y.o. to lift the major crown of the meeting.

Djakadam is one of the most exciting horses in the Gold Cup line up, and he could run a massive race.  Willie Mullins’ gelding was travelling really well in the JLT Chase at last year’s Festival when he came down at the fourth last fence.

There is every chance that Djakadam will improve again between the Thyestes and Cheltenham, and as Long Run proved four years ago that it is possible in the modern era for a six-year-old to win the Gold Cup.

And on to the statistics…

Gold Cup – 10 Year Trends

Age 7 to 9 – 9 out of 10

All finished in the first 6 last time out

All were Grade 1 winners

First three in betting – 9 out of 10

Run in King George/Lexus chase – 9 out of 10 (exception won the Henessy)

Two to five runs in the season – 9 out of 10

No Irish Hennessy winner

None had won at the third attempt

Trends here would rule out favourite Silviniaco Conti, Carlingford Lough, Holywell, while virtually ruling out Many Clouds and  Djakadam, but they did run in the Hennessy. This leaves Road to Riches who has been one of the surprise packages of the season and an impressive winner of his last two. He’s been kept fresh for this and looks sure to go well.

A final mention has to be for last year’s winner Lord Windermere. If he was with Mullins, Nicholls or Henderson he would probably be half his odds. He has been prepared the same way as last year and you could argue he has ran better. It’s a horse with proven festival form and must rate a serious danger to all.

Cheltenham 2015

Steve will again be raising much needed donations for the Lambourn Valley Housing Trust (Registered Charity No. 1049742). The Trust provide affordable homes for stable staff and their families.

Donations start from £25 for membership from Saturday 7th to Sunday 15th March, which includes all four days of the Festival.

All Special Charity memberships will include:

– Exclusive Cheltenham Preview

– Horses to follow directly from the Lambourn trainers

– Advance booking discount

You can pre-register now by either:

– Email Steve@slh.co.uk providing your full name and postal address

– Racing Office on 0208 650 5721

UPDATE: Four horses to follow at the Festival already received from Nicky Henderson. Register now and qualify for the advance booking discount.