Mad to step up again?

Four good meetings for us this afternoon with four races apiece from Sandown and Aintree on Channel 4. The going remains Good/Good to Soft. A cloudy and dry day is forecast across the country.

Two races for us this afternoon, both at Sandown.

12.20 Sandown Barry Rawlings “What A Year” “National Hunt” Novices´ Hurdle (CLASS 3)

Cruiseaweigh was impressive when winning his bumper at Aintree early last month and is of most interest.

Bardd bumper form isn’t as strong.

Dashing Oscar and Crystal Lad set hurdles form standard.

I have Cruiseaweigh in at 7/4 on my provisional tissue.

Sandown Park
Sandown Park

3.00 Sandown Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) (CLASS 1)

Un De Sceaux sets a high standard if near his best.

Ar Mad is the unexposed improver.

I go 6/4 Un De Sceaux  and 9/2  Ar Mad.

Un De Sceaux on his way to Arkle victory
Un De Sceaux on his way to Arkle victory

 

Just the one bet for us yesterday, a strong and successful lay of a heavily backed short odds favourite. With the lays I specialise in going against the market by opposing favourites who I consider poor value. Yesterday I set a maximum lay limit of 2.4, our bet was returned at 2.1.

By concentrating on favourites we have much greater liquidity and by having a maximum cut-off price, I eliminate the dangerous practice of laying blind. On all lays this year we have a success rate of well over 70%, quite a few have been odds-on.

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