A few stats from the charity preview:

Age 7 to 9 – 9 out of 10

Christmas Hurdle at Kempton – Only 1 winner last 10 years

Ran in same calendar year – 9 out of 10

All ran in last 51 days

On these stats this leaves just Jezki and Arctic Fire. However, the final assessment in the preview leaves this as a duel between The New One and Faugheen, with Arctic Fire being the value option for each way backers.