Three jump meetings for us today from Ascot, Haydock and Huntingdon. The headline race from the four graded races on offer is the Grade 1 Betfair Chase at Haydock.
We are concentrating on two races from the Haydock card in this analysis where the going is already reported as Heavy. The Lancashire track has had plenty of rain, with more forecast throughout the day. Any significant deterioration in the ground will be a factor.
Later this morning I will be getting direct course reports from all the tracks before briefing members with my betting plans.
12.10 1m7½f Newton Novices’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)
Form of all of these is difficult to evaluate.
Dynamite Dollars looked impressive on latest start, but beat little.
I would be wary of anything at short odds.
A case of sorts can be made for all.
Locally trained Waterlord makes his debut for the McCain yard after a two year absence and is worth keeping an eye on at big odds. Currently available at around 25/1.
My private tissue at this early stage:
Dynamite Dollars 5/2
Midnight Shadow 5/1
Gortroe Joe 6/1
Delire D’Estruval 8/1
3.00 3m1½f Betfair Chase (Grade 1) (Class 1) (5yo+)
Well over £100,000 on offer to the winner.
Bristol De Mai returned to form at Wetherby and last season’s course win made a lasting impression.
Outlander also returned from the wilderness when winning on latest start.
Cue Card was beaten by Tea For Two when last completing.
My provisional tissue which is at variance with the generally available early prices:
Bristol De Mai 7/4
Cue Card 7/2
Tea For Two 6/1
Over the past seven days we have had just the five selective bets producing four winners. Those four include winners at 9/4 and 10/3, the latter being our biggest bet of this week so far. Plus two more successful lays against short priced favourites, the latest being against a heavily backed 8/11 shot.
Added to our 10/1 winner earlier in the month, it has contributed to our profits for the new season and year overall.
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