Tag Archives: newcastle

Ones to watch

Contrasting going reports today with our two featured meetings. Ascot is Good to Soft whilst Fontwell are watering to maintain good ground.

This is a transitional phase of the year as we enter the last full month of the flat and we start to see the higher quality jumpers make their seasonal debuts.

We start with the two Group 3 events at Ascot and then onto the most valuable race at Fontwell this afternoon.

2.25 Ascot 1m4f Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

The Galileo bred Waldgeist sets a very high standard on his French and Irish Derby form.

Conditions are fine and he deserves to be at short odds. 10/11 my provisional tissue.

Waldgeist

3.00 Ascot 6f John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

A peak form Blue Point will prove difficult to beat. Disappointed on testing ground at Haydock latest start when he could not quicken in the final stages.

I expect a return to form on today’s surface; good to soft should be fine. 6/4 my provisional tissue.

Blue Point

3.05 Fontwell 2m3f Winner Group Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-145)

Six of the seven here are making their seasonal debuts. With a few interesting horses who are expected to progress further.

Loverboy is an ex French horse having his first start for Dan Skelton after his move from France last week. Not seen on the track for 2 1/2 years.

I anticipate that both Diable De Sivola and Dashing Oscar will have successful seasons.

Definitely a race to watch for the future.

Dashing Oscar

Terms for the 2017/18 Jumps Campaign are now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

They provide you with a significant discount against the standard rates.

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

 

 

33/1 Hennessy winner?

Good to Soft is the general going today after a cold frosty night. Newcastle is on after a second inspection. We stay at Newbury for two races, starting with the Henneesy.

3.10 Newbury Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3)

 Richest handicap chase this side of the Grand NationalA 10/1 the field race with very few completely ruled out.

At the top end of the market Un Temps Pour Tout makes most appeal.

His from the front win over hurdles on reappearance has set him up perfectly for today’s race.

At the weights Holywell ties in with Un Temps Pour Tout on Cheltenham Festival form. However he finished tailed off on his reappearance over hurdles.

Triolo D’Alene won this race in 2013. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him run well today at big odds. Plenty of 33/1 around this morning if you fancy another each way punt following yesterday’s e/w option which came in at 5/1 having been as big as 13/2 in the morning.

 

Triolo D'Alene winning the Hennessy
Triolo D’Alene winning the Hennessy

3.45 Newbury bet365 Handicap Chase (For The Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) (CLASS 2)

Parsnip Pete finished behind Raven’s Tower at Aintree three weeks ago and was giving 11lb to the winner. He is expected to improve for that effort and can reverse that form today.

The form of Imjoeking’s Kelso win is working out nicely. He is a prominent runner who jumps well and is expected to figure.

I have Parsnip Pete and Imjoeking as 11/2 joint favs on my tissue.

Imjoeking
Imjoeking

Great day of racing which I hope you enjoy. Back on Friday, in the meantime get your free noted horses at: www.slh.co.uk

 

Update

After a lot of hard work on today’s cards, there is not a lot of value to be had.

At Aintree the three handicaps are incredibly difficult to unravel and I am not going to get sucked in to bookmakers benefit races.

The 3.25 is there for Vautour on the Cheltenham run. This leaves the 2.50 where I go 7/4 Un Temps Pour Tout and 3/1 Blaklion, which leaves minimal value against the books.

Finally the 2.40 Newcastle. Mumgos Debut is dropped in class today in an attempt to get the 8 y.o. into the winners enclosure for the first time in seventeen attempts. 2/1 my tissue.

Back tomorrow.

2/1 the pair

Two races for us to briefly look at today. Both for races that are very tight at the top of the market.

We start in the 2.05 Newcastle.

Looks a match between Lake View Lad and Lamool. The market has them at 4/7 and 6/4 respectively.

Lake View Lad disappointed when stepped up in class at Kelso last time. Drops markedly back to Class 4 again today.

Lamool returns from a six month break. Has won above this level in the past.

Both are off the same weight and have 5lb claimers. I have the pair as even money joint-fav’s.

On to the 2.15 at Aintree.

Limini impressed when winning the Mares’ Novice Hurdle at Cheltenham and takes on the boys today.

It’s another Mullins vs Henderson match up with Buveur D’air the main danger. I go 2/1 the pair.

Limini
Limini

Will be doing a quick update for Aintree around 1.30 today.