Tag Archives: market rasen

horse racing

Grey day

Five turf meetings for us today with Champions Day at Ascot being the major attraction with over £4 million in prize money.

Fantastic card at Ascot, but not one that appeals to me from a serious professional backing perspective.

It would be good to see Order Of St George and Harry Angel run to their best and confirm their rightful positions at the head of the two markets. Neither should be inconvenienced by the softer ground conditions.

As a clear sign that the winter season is edging closer we have three jump meetings this afternoon. As has been the case throughout this opening month, plenty of runners making their seasonal or racecourse debuts whilst there is cut in the ground. A lot of yards are much further forward this year.

I am going to briefly look at two races from a very interesting Market Rasen meeting, the only fixture today to report the going as Good.

4.00 Capitaine looks to confirm the good impression he made on chase debut.

I go 6/4  as apposed to the majority of the books who are offering even money this morning

Capitaine

4.35 Ready Token can go well fresh. He is on a fair mark with conditions to suit.

4/1 fav on my private tissue.

Ready Token

Four bets only so far this week and three winners including an impressive 3/1 victory at Carlisle. Terms for the 2017/18 Jumps Campaign are now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

Any membership taken this weekend will have an extra month added free.  You can also add the All Weather Service for just £75 for seven months membership. Just one bet on the AW yesterday returning a thrilling 12/1 winner.

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

 

 

horse racing

Crucial claim?

Going to concentrate on the two listed races at Market Rasen today. The going at the Lincolnshire track is on the soft side of good. No non-runners at this stage.

Early price value is in short supply today for the races I am interested in.

3.55 2m½f 188bet.co.uk Prelude Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Very competitive in which a case can be made for most of the fifteen runners.

James Bowen’s 7lb claim could prove crucial on Red Tornado.

Difficult to price, however I put Red Tornado as my 5/1 fav provisionally which is a point above the general price currently on offer.

Red Tornado

 

4.30 2m5½f 188bet.co.uk Prelude Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Another highly competitive affair as the fourteen declared battle it out for the biggest prize on the card of over £28,000 to the winner.

Junction Fourteen is potentially on a fair handicap mark and is worth a look at big odds. Currently 16/1 generally.

Ballybolley disappointed on latest start at Galway, but held every chance when falling previously.

Guitar Pete is of most interest. Although not straightforward, he has run well on last two starts. Lost his balance when hitting the running rail on the home turn at Perth last time, then stayed on well. He is expected to figure.

Again difficult to price – the 7/1 on offer this morning for Guitar Pete looks about right.

 

Guitar Pete

 

Five bets so far this week and three winners including a straight win for a 7/1 winner at Perth and yesterday we had our strongest bet of the year so far providing a 7/2 winner. Terms for the 2017/18 Jumps Campaign are now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

They provide you with a significant discount against the standard rates.

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

horse racing

Focus on quality

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Focus on quality this afternoon with two Group 1 races at Newmarket where the going is Good to Firm plus a listed race from Market Rasen. The Lincolnshire track have watered and the ground is good. All three races on Channel 4.

2.55 Newmarket Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1)

6f sprint confined to 2y.o. fillies.

Lady Aurelia’s blistering performance at Royal Ascot was hard to believe.

She was below that level when winning over 6f in France on her latest start.

If she reproduces her Ascot form she will win, but on her French form she is beatable.

Queen Kindly and Roly Poly have achieved a similar level, with Queen Kindly looking sure to improve further.

I price the main contenders as follows:

Lady Aurelia   1/1

Queen Kindly 3/1

Roly Poly 4/1

Lady Aurelia
Lady Aurelia

 

3.30 Newmarket Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1)

Entire 2y.o. colts again over 6f.

Blue Point is a noted horse with a big future.

Although beaten by Mehmas at Goodwood, he then improved on his latest start when impressively winning the Gimcrack at York.

Unfortunately his chance is reflected in the market. Currently a best price 11/8, I provisionally put him in at 6/4.

Blue Point

 

3.10 Market Rasen Prelude Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

 

A difficult race to price with the in-form ‘summer’ horses looking vulnerable.

Fox Appeal is on a fair handicap mark, has conditions to suit and can go well fresh. Worth a close look.

Seefood has his second start for his present stable since coming over from Ireland. Just the one outing this year resulting in a tired fall at Kempton in early January.

Again conditions will suit and he can go well at double figure odds. There is a bit of 16/1 on offer.

Seefood winning at Fairyhouse

Preparations for the main Jumps campaign are progressing well. For more details and to get your free information pack, go to: www.slh.co.uk

 

horse racing

Value is the key

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Seven race fixtures across Britain today plus the Irish Oaks meeting at the Curragh. Channel 4 have a good mix of flat and jumps from their eight scheduled races. We are going to look at two races this afternoon.

3.00 Newbury bet365 Stakes (Registered As The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race)

With Retrieve now a non-runner, seven declared for the £37,000 prize money on offer. The fast ground has been watered and we have some rain forecast.

There are various doubts concerning all runners. None come into this with a victory on their last run.

Scottish is the most appealing having run a satisfactory race on his reappearance for his new stable. The form of last season’s win at Ayr is solid and today’s conditions will suit.

Gm Hopkins is an old favourite of ours from last season and like Mokarris yesterday can be forgiven a poor outing at Royal ascot in unsuitable conditions.

Third in we have Master Carpenter ridden by the in-form Frederick Tylicki. Seven rides in the past two days have brought three winners and four seconds.

 

master-carpenter
Master Carpenter (right)

My provisional tissue pending a course report from one of my senior contacts:

Scottish 6/4

GM Hopkins 11/2

Master Carpenter  8/1

Spark Plug   8/1

10/1 bar

The books are shorter than me with the favourite and I would expect the market to ease off once we get nearer to post time.

4.30 Market Rasen   Betfred “Supports Jack Berry House” Novices´ Handicap Chase (CLASS 3)

Good ground that has been watered and showers expected.

A wide open race with a couple at big prices worth a close look.

Both Fort Worth and Cusheen Bridge are potentially fairly handicapped on form shown over hurdles. They have shown plenty of ability in novice chases and are fairly priced going into a handicap chase for the first time.

Market-Rasen-Racecourse
Market Rasen racecourse

 

At the 16/1 and 20/1 on offer for both horses I would be looking to get some value out of this.

The books are betting at a general 124% which reflects the open nature of the race. It may be worth looking at the exchanges should the head of the market start contracting.

As ever in true professional backing, value is the key.

horse racing, Uncategorized

Making Plans For Nigel

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Five British turf meetings for us today with good ground at all of them.

We start this afternoon at Market Rasen with Detour Ahead in the 2.50. After a long absence she hinted at a return to form last time at Bangor having been pulled up on her two return outings. Steps up in grade today and has winning form on good ground.

I make her 4/1 on my private tissue.

Ascot-Racecourse
Ascot racecourse

Our next race is the opener from this evening’s card at Ascot. Nigel is a horse I noted early last year. He failed to deliver on the promise shown despite being a warm order in the market on a number of occasions.

Has recently moved from the John Gosden yard to Richard Hughes in Upper Lambourn. Steps up in distance to 2 miles and is worth a look.

Difficult race to price accurately. The bookmakers are going a cautious 9/2.

Back tomorrow morning when we have Ascot and Haydock as the highlights.

horse racing, Uncategorized

Jam tomorrow?

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The weather has certainly had a big say this week. Since my last blog on Saturday there have been eleven scheduled meetings, of which six have been abandoned. The standard of the five remaining has not been particularly inspiring.

Today we are left with Market Rasen after Chepstow succumbed to waterlogging. The going at Rasen is a mixture of good to soft and soft. It will make a welcome change from the heavy ground that has dominated recently.

Two races quickly touch on. Firstly, the 1.50 where bottom weight Herons Heir makes his handicap debut. On what he has achieved so far, the general 7/4 on offer looks very short. I go 5/1 on my tissue.

The 2.55 looks a wide open affair. Sunny Legend looks to follow up his victory at Towcester two weeks ago. Current 8/1 offers a bit of value.

Un De Sceaux (right) winning the 2015 Arkle Trophy
Un De Sceaux (right) winning the 2015 Arkle Trophy

We have three meetings planned tomorrow. With Ascot and Haydock being the headliners. Un De Sceaux returns to Britain for the first time since his tremendous display in the Arkle. Over at Haydock good novice and champion hurdle trials plus the gruelling Peter Marsh Chase.

Let’s hope the weather is kind.