Category Archives: horse racing

Grey day

Five turf meetings for us today with Champions Day at Ascot being the major attraction with over £4 million in prize money.

Fantastic card at Ascot, but not one that appeals to me from a serious professional backing perspective.

It would be good to see Order Of St George and Harry Angel run to their best and confirm their rightful positions at the head of the two markets. Neither should be inconvenienced by the softer ground conditions.

As a clear sign that the winter season is edging closer we have three jump meetings this afternoon. As has been the case throughout this opening month, plenty of runners making their seasonal or racecourse debuts whilst there is cut in the ground. A lot of yards are much further forward this year.

I am going to briefly look at two races from a very interesting Market Rasen meeting, the only fixture today to report the going as Good.

4.00 Capitaine looks to confirm the good impression he made on chase debut.

I go 6/4  as apposed to the majority of the books who are offering even money this morning

Capitaine

4.35 Ready Token can go well fresh. He is on a fair mark with conditions to suit.

4/1 fav on my private tissue.

Ready Token

Four bets only so far this week and three winners including an impressive 3/1 victory at Carlisle. Terms for the 2017/18 Jumps Campaign are now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

Any membership taken this weekend will have an extra month added free.  You can also add the All Weather Service for just £75 for seven months membership. Just one bet on the AW yesterday returning a thrilling 12/1 winner.

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Class to tell?

Quite short today as I have contacts I wish to talk to after they arrive on course. Those discussions may have a bearing on my betting plans for today and will be briefed to members at 1.00.

It is a very good afternoon of racing and I expect a lot can be gleaned from it as we have decent going conditions for our two races of interest.

3.00 Newmarket 7f (Row) Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Colts & Fillies) (Class 1) (2yo)

Expert Eye was noted on debut and duly confirmed that opinion when winning at Goodwood.

He is a very high class prospect and deserves to be at short odds. 1/2 my tissue.

Expert Eye

 

3.05 Chepstow 2m3½f totequadpot Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

 

Finian’s Oscar will be at very short odds to make a successful chasing debut.

However he takes on a worthy opponent in Alcala.

Difficult to price, although I would have them closer together in the market.

 

Alcala (grey)

Plenty to go at this weekend and I will be looking to build on the two winners from our three bets only so far this week.

Terms for the 2017/18 Jumps Campaign are now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

They provide you with a significant discount against the standard rates.

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

 

Ones to watch

Contrasting going reports today with our two featured meetings. Ascot is Good to Soft whilst Fontwell are watering to maintain good ground.

This is a transitional phase of the year as we enter the last full month of the flat and we start to see the higher quality jumpers make their seasonal debuts.

We start with the two Group 3 events at Ascot and then onto the most valuable race at Fontwell this afternoon.

2.25 Ascot 1m4f Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

The Galileo bred Waldgeist sets a very high standard on his French and Irish Derby form.

Conditions are fine and he deserves to be at short odds. 10/11 my provisional tissue.

Waldgeist

3.00 Ascot 6f John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

A peak form Blue Point will prove difficult to beat. Disappointed on testing ground at Haydock latest start when he could not quicken in the final stages.

I expect a return to form on today’s surface; good to soft should be fine. 6/4 my provisional tissue.

Blue Point

3.05 Fontwell 2m3f Winner Group Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-145)

Six of the seven here are making their seasonal debuts. With a few interesting horses who are expected to progress further.

Loverboy is an ex French horse having his first start for Dan Skelton after his move from France last week. Not seen on the track for 2 1/2 years.

I anticipate that both Diable De Sivola and Dashing Oscar will have successful seasons.

Definitely a race to watch for the future.

Dashing Oscar

Terms for the 2017/18 Jumps Campaign are now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

They provide you with a significant discount against the standard rates.

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

 

 

Crucial claim?

Going to concentrate on the two listed races at Market Rasen today. The going at the Lincolnshire track is on the soft side of good. No non-runners at this stage.

Early price value is in short supply today for the races I am interested in.

3.55 2m½f 188bet.co.uk Prelude Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Very competitive in which a case can be made for most of the fifteen runners.

James Bowen’s 7lb claim could prove crucial on Red Tornado.

Difficult to price, however I put Red Tornado as my 5/1 fav provisionally which is a point above the general price currently on offer.

Red Tornado

 

4.30 2m5½f 188bet.co.uk Prelude Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Another highly competitive affair as the fourteen declared battle it out for the biggest prize on the card of over £28,000 to the winner.

Junction Fourteen is potentially on a fair handicap mark and is worth a look at big odds. Currently 16/1 generally.

Ballybolley disappointed on latest start at Galway, but held every chance when falling previously.

Guitar Pete is of most interest. Although not straightforward, he has run well on last two starts. Lost his balance when hitting the running rail on the home turn at Perth last time, then stayed on well. He is expected to figure.

Again difficult to price – the 7/1 on offer this morning for Guitar Pete looks about right.

 

Guitar Pete

 

Five bets so far this week and three winners including a straight win for a 7/1 winner at Perth and yesterday we had our strongest bet of the year so far providing a 7/2 winner. Terms for the 2017/18 Jumps Campaign are now available at: http://www.slh.co.uk/201718-jumps-campaign/

They provide you with a significant discount against the standard rates.

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

Army dreamers

With the abandonment of Ayr we are left with three flat turf meetings in Britain today plus a National Hunt fixture in Ireland. I will be keeping a close watch on the latter as part of my preparations for the fast approaching main jumps campaign.

We are concentrating on a race each from Newbury and Newmarket this morning, the going at both is Good.

2.50 Newbury 6f Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo)

Invincible Army looked to have progressed further when winning on the polytrack at Kempton on his latest start. He sets the form standard.

James Garfield was just touched off over 7f at York after looking sure to win. Dropping back to 6f here isn’t sure to suit.

Enjazaat steps back up in class after easily winning a listed race at Ripon.

Invincible Army looks sure to run a big race and is preferred. 3/1 on offer early.

My tissue:

Invincible Army   5/2

Enjazaat                4/1

James Garfield    4/1

10/1 bar

Invincible Army

5.30 Newmarket 1m (Row) discovernewmarket.co.uk Fillies’ Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

Panova is a noted horse who is proving to be a disappointment. Cheek-pieces are fitted today.

She ties in closely with Dubara on Goodwood form.

Also at Goodwood, Shenanigans stayed on well to win and is progressive. The market reflects her chance.

I price the main contenders:

Shenanigans  2/1

Dubara   7/2

Panova   7/2

8/1 bar

Panova (far side)

The Ayr Gold Cup meeting was the centrepiece of the week and losing all three days meant we were left with some pretty unsuitable betting cards elsewhere. So it has been a quiet week with one winner from our two bets so far.

The two starter membership options close this weekend. It is an ideal low cost opportunity to sample my work during this transitional phase in the racing calendar. You can start today by going to: http://www.slh.co.uk/special-membership/

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

 

Another Defoe winner?

Concentrating on the St Leger this afternoon. The going at Doncaster was described as ‘Good to dead’ by one rider yesterday. There has been some rain overnight and it is officially Good to Soft and Good in places today. Faster ground horses will remain at a disadvantage.

3.35 1m6½f St Leger Stakes (Group 1) (Colts & Fillies) (Class 1) (3yo)

 A high class renewal of the St Leger.

Capri sets the standard with his Irish Derby win, and is expected to stay this trip.

Crystal Ocean impressed at Goodwood, although staying this trip is a slight concern.

Defoe is progressing race by race. Conditions will suit and he must run a big race.

Rekindling and Stradivarius are confirmed stayers who can’t be ruled out.

Coronet has to be considered in receipt of her sex allowance.

Defoe is my preferred.

My personal tissue:

Capri  4/1

Defoe  9/2

Crystal Ocean  6/1

Coronet  6/1

Rekindling 7/1

Stradivarius 7/1

20/1 bar

Defoe (right)

Further increased the profits this week with three winners from our only four bets. Looking to finish the summer season strongly before starting on the main jumps campaign.

We currently have  starter membership options available. It is an ideal opportunity to sample my work during this transitional phase in the racing calendar. You can start today by going to: http://www.slh.co.uk/special-membership/

Alternately if you wish to get your free info pack and learn more about my work as a professional backer, see: www.slh.co.uk

 

Tin value

Two races for us at Haydock this afternoon and yet again the ground is a dominant factor. There is prolonged rain forecast throughout the day. This falling on already heavy going can only make conditions even more testing.

2.25 6f 32Red Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Harry Angel is a noted horse who I wouldn’t oppose lightly. However I do have concerns about him being fully effective on soft ground and he looks a vulnerable favourite.

There’s little to choose between The Tin Man and Tasleet, both are effective on soft ground.

Second favourite Brando is another who handles the soft ground, and he impressed when winning in France on his latest start.

Because of conditions it’s a difficult race to price with total confidence.

I go 7/2 the field with The Tin Man looking value at the current 8/1.

The Tin Man

 

3.35 1m (1m37y) 32Red Mile (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Flaming Spear is expected to go well after putting up a career best when winning impressively on his latest start at York.

A case can be made for almost all of his opponents, but I would be surprised if Flaming Spear doesn’t figure prominently.

6/1+ is fair.

Flaming Spear

We currently have two starter membership options available. It is an ideal opportunity to sample my work during this transitional phase in the racing calendar. You can start today by going to: http://www.slh.co.uk/special-membership/

Treasure trail

The ground is generally good at all the British meetings today. We have one race from both codes this afternoon.

2.25 Sandown

The 7f Group 3 Solario Stakes was first run in 1947 and has produced some notable winners over the years. A race dominated by Henry Cecil in the late 70’s and 80’s.

Seven to post today with the market headed by Masar.

Masar ran well in the Chesham at Royal Ascot.That form gives him every chance, with further progress expected.

Purser impressed when winning on debut, although by a small margin. I expect him to improve significantly for that experience.

I provisionally price them:

Masar  3/1

Purser  7/2

Masar

 

2.50 Newton Abbot

This looks a very tightly knit 2m 4f  handicap.

Beau Bay won well on chase debut, although that form is suspect.

Double Treasure returns from a break after looking progressive when last seen at Chepstow.

None of the 8 runners can be totally discounted.

My marginal preference is for Double Treasure who is currently a best priced 6/1.

Difficult race to price, but I would be around 7/2 the field.

Double Treasure

 

Good winner for us yesterday with Deadly Move at Bangor. A very professional ride by the teenage claimer James Bowen on a horse who is far from straightforward.

We currently have an introductory membership through to 1st November. This gives you the final period of the summer season and the opening month of my 2017/18 jumps campaign. Full details at: www.slh.co.uk

Angel of the North

Seven meetings across Britain today, all in England. The going draws a weather map of the past few days from North to South. Cartmel is Good to Soft whilst Newmarket and Windsor are Good to Firm. The remainder are all Good, including York.

We start at the Knavesmire:

3.00 York 6f Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (2yo)

No outstanding performer for this Group 2 worth over £127,000 to the winner.

Form horses Cardsharp and Headway can return to form on this better ground after disappointing on soft ground at Goodwood.

Nebo and Frozen Angel are also considered on form achieved.

At current odds Frozen Angel is my preference.

He was a noted horse earlier in the season and has continued to run well.

His latest performances at the Curragh and Maisons-Laffitte are solid efforts.

Today’s conditions will suit and a big run is expected.

Current 8/1+ is fair.

 

Frozen Angel

 

4.25 Newmarket 6f (July) Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Four non-runners leaving a field of eleven.

Previous noted horse Gifted Master returned to his best when winning a Doncaster.

A reproduction of that run gives him a solid chance.

Conditions will suit.

I would want at least 9/2 to get interested.

Gifted Master

We currently have an introductory membership through to 1st November. This gives you the final period of the summer season and the opening month of my 2017/18 jumps campaign. A good introduction to genuine professional betting. Full details at: www.slh.co.uk

Last chance

We go to Newbury and Perth this afternoon. Unseasonably soft ground at both meetings.

Plenty of non-runners today, most will be down to unsuitable going.

2.25 Newbury 1m5½f Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Frontiersman sets the standard, but is proving frustrating having thrown away a winning opportunity at Newmarket on latest start.

Defoe’s win at Hamilton has subsequently been franked. He can progress further.

To Eternity is still unexposed.

At the odds available I am tempted to give Frontiersman one further chance.

My provisional front of market tissue:

Frontiersman  5/2

Defoe               11/4

To Eternity      11/2

We go to Newbury and Perth today. Unseasonably soft ground at both meetings.

Plenty of non-runners today, most will be down to unsuitable going.

 

Frontiersman

 

3.45 Perth 2m Spirits Of Scone Stone Of Destiny Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (3yo+)

Lovato runs in first handicap and will need to improve to win off his mark.

Top-weighted Mirsaale returned to form on latest start. Connections fit cheek-pieces for the first time over hurdles (he wore them on the flat).

Dear Sire ties in with Mirsaale on latest form.

Green Zone is improving.

My early assessment of the field:

Mirsaale                10/3

Lovato                     4/1

Dear Sire                 4/1

Green Zone            5/1

Caius Marcius        7/1

Thefyingportrait  12/1

 

Green Zone

Our final special membership of the year is centred around the York Ebor meeting. You can start today and get 10 days membership from only £20. More details at: http://www.slh.co.uk/special-membership/

Good couple of winners for us this week which pushed the summer profits up again. Greatly looking forward to York next week.